Pew's LV Sample Tilts GOP: 37.3% - 33.6% - 29.1% R-D-I

Big surprise, huh?  Pew PDF here.  Go to page 6.

Out of a sample of 1925 likely voters, they have  718 Republicans, 647 Democrats, and 464 Independents.

They show the GOPers favoring Bush over Kerry by 93-4, with 3% for other candidates, or undecided.  Dems favor Kerry over Bush 90-6, and Independents favor Kerry over Bush by 48-44.

If we weight according to the typical 35-39-26 R-D-I proportion, we get Kerry leading Bush by 49-46 among likely voters.  

"Now that's more like it, campers!"
-- Mark Slackmeyer




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